For decades, searching for information on the internet followed a fairly consistent model - you typed keywords into a search box, and the engine returned a ranked list of relevant web pages. This process of looking for answers by querying keywords and sifting through websites is being fundamentally reshaped by the rise of generative AI.
Large language models like ChatGPT can now directly provide human-like answers and content in response to natural language queries.
read moreWhen thought leaders lay out a vision of revolutionizing healthcare in the coming years, it’s usually a fusion of medicine and ground-breaking technology that calls to mind sophisticated AI robots performing non-invasive surgery with lasers to cure cancer in a matter of minutes.
Chances are that, sooner or later, that vision of the future of healthcare will be realized. But right now, in many more subtle and user-friendly ways, personalized medicine is already with us and changing the lives of ordinary people.
read moreFar and wide across the consumer packaged goods (CPG) and retail economy, digital disruption is forcing legacy brands to radically reevaluate how they view production, distribution and consumption in the digital age. With distribution and sales models dating back 100 years or more, incumbents have been slow to adapt to the rise of the “digital native” consumer — a younger, more nuanced and tech-savvy demographic.
Unable to successfully employ the “mass-mass-mass” strategies of years past (mass production, mass distribution, mass advertising), the industry has fallen on tough times: Retailers
and supermarkets
are filing for bankruptcy at record rates. CPG legacy brands are reporting significant loses
at the hands of fast-growing startups
. Amazon and Walmart, in addition to their intensely bitter price wars
, have transitioned from clients to competitors with their own private labels
. Consumer preferences
are continuing to shift as technology evolves.
If legacy brands want to survive, they must transform and adapt.
read moreCharles Darwin said in On the Origin of the Species that it’s not the strongest or most intelligent of the species that survives, but the one that’s most adaptable to change.
While we’re a long way off from 1859, the idea is just as relevant as it ever was. We are a species whose habitat is now ruled by technology, and it is chancing at a rapid pace.
Connectivity, data analytics, artificial intelligence, and the Internet of Things are rapidly changing our world and environment, and according to Moore’s Law, the pace of change will only grow. IBM said in a recent report
that 90 percent of the world’s data has been generated in the past two years. Much as we couldn’t have envisioned 2018 in the year 2000, we can’t quite know what our habitat will be like in 2025 or 2035.
read moreIn part 1 we defined Digital Darwinism and the Coefficient of Adaptability
, in part 2 we discussed the MTP
, part 3 we deep dived into scenario planning, plausible futures and new entrants
, and now we’re going to bring it together an envision the future of the restaurant.
Invest in the future of personalized nutrition, which resides in the future of the quantified self and future of food processing, manufacturing, and fulfillment.
Imagine a future where you could know everything about your body, including natural composition, but also real-time need state. Here’s a list of a few fast-moving trends that will enable that, all riding Moore’s law by doubling their price-performance every 9 to 18 months.
read moreIn part 1 we defined Digital Darwinism and the Coefficient of Adaptability
, and in part 2 we discussed the MTP
. Now let’s deep dive into scenario planning.
Scenario Planning
Scenario Planning is the process of anticipating possible futures by generating actionable insights through the creation a small set of scenarios for an organization’s future environment that are:
- Relevant to critical business decisions
- Distinct
- Individually realistic and believable
- Together cover the breadth of relevant uncertainties
Scenarios are visions of alternative plausible futures.
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